Tag:Kansas
Posted on: March 11, 2012 1:57 pm
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Cubbage32 final bracket 3/11

Happy Selection Sunday everyone! Here is my final bracket, with a couple different scenarios in case St. Bonnie's wins and the result of the Big Ten Championship game today, which will determine the last No.1 seed.  If St. Bonnies wins (they are up at halftime), then Iona will drop out and they will move into a 13 seed and bump NEW MEXICO STATE to a 12 and drop N.C. State into a last four in scenario.



Midwest
1-Kentucky
16 W. Kentucky/Norfolk State

8- Gonzaga
9- Alabama

5-MURRAY STATE
12-Byu

4- Georgetown
13- NEW MEXICO STATE/St. Bonaventure

6 - Unlv
11- West Virginia

3 - Marquette
14 - MONTANA

7- Temple
10- California

2 - MISSOURI
15- UNC-ASHEVILLE

West
1- MICHIGAN STATE/OHIO STATE
16- LEHIGH

8- Kansas State
9- Notre Dame

5- NEW MEXICO
12- N.C. State

4- Indiana
13- South Florida/Drexel

6- San Diego State
11- Xavier

3- Florida State
14- OHIO

7-MEMPHIS
10- Virginia

2-Kansas
15- LONG ISLAND

East
1-Syracuse
16-MISS. VALLEY ST./VERMONT

8-Purdue
9-Uconn

5-Wichita State
12-COLORADO

4-Wisconsin
13- DAVIDSON

6-CREIGHTON
11- Colorado State

3-Michigan
14-SOUTH DAKOTA STATE

7-Vanderbilt
10-Southern Miss

2-Duke
15-LAMAR

SOUTH REGION
1-North Carolina
16- VERMONT

8-Iowa State
9- St. Louis

5- Florida
12- VCU

4-LOUISVILLE
13-Texas/Iona

6-St. MARY'S
11-LONG BEACH STATE

3- Baylor
14-DETROIT

7-Cincinnati
10-HARVARD

2-OHIO STATE/MICHIGAN STATE
15-BELMONT




1s-KENTUCKY, Syracuse, UNC, MICHIGAN STATE

2s- Kansas, MISSOURI, Ohio State, Duke

3s- Marquette, Baylor, Michigan, Florida State

4s- Wisconsin, LOUISVILLE, Georgetown, Indiana

5s- MURRAY STATE, Wichita State, NEW MEXICO, Florida

6s - San Diego State, CREIGHTON, ST. MARY'S, Unlv

7s -  Vanderbilt, Temple, MEMPHIS, Cincinnati

8s - Kansas State, Iowa State, Purdue, Gonzaga

9s- Alabama, Uconn, St. Louis, Notre Dame,

10s- HARVARD, Southern Miss, Virginia, California

11s- LONG BEACH STATE, XAVIER, West Virginia, Colorado State

12s- COLORADO, VCU, N.C. State, Byu

13s- NEW MEXICO STATE, DAVIDSON, South Florida, Texas, Drexel, Iona

14s-OHIO, SOUTH DAKOTA STATE, MONTANA, DETROIT

15s- UNC-ASHEVILLE, LONG ISLAND, BELMONT, LAMAR

16s- VERMONT, MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE, LEHIGH, LOYOLA (MD), W. KENTUCKY, NORFOLK STATE

Play-in games: 13s South Florida vs. 13s Drexel; 13s Texas vs. 13s Iona; 16s Norfolk State vs. 16s W. Kentucky; 16s Mississippi Valley State vs. 16s Vermont


last four in: South Florida, Texas, Drexel, Iona
first four out: Seton Hall, Mississippi State, Washington, Arizona,
next six out: MississippiOral Roberts, Middle Tennessee, Oregon, Tennessee, Nevada, Miami

Posted on: March 10, 2012 11:32 pm
 

cubbage32 bracket 3/10

1s-KENTUCKY, Syracuse, UNC, Kansas

2s- MISSOURI, Duke, MICHIGAN STATE, Ohio State

3s- Marquette, Baylor, , Michigan, Florida State

4s- Wisconsin, LOUISVILLE, Georgetown, Indiana

5s- MURRAY STATE, Wichita State, NEW MEXICO, Florida

6s - San Diego State, CREIGHTON, ST. MARY'S, Unlv,

7s -  Vanderbilt, TEMPLE, MEMPHIS, Cincinnati

8s - Kansas State, Iowa State, Purdue, Gonzaga,

9s- Alabama, Uconn, St. Louis, Notre Dame,

10s- HARVARD, Southern Miss, Virginia, California

11s- LONG BEACH STATE, XAVIER, West Virginia, Colorado State

12s- COLORADO, VCU, N.C. State, Byu

13s- NEW MEXICO STATE, DAVIDSON, Texas, Drexel, Seton Hall, Mississippi State

14s-OHIO, SOUTH DAKOTA STATE, MONTANA, DETROIT

15s- UNC-ASHEVILLE, LONG ISLAND, BELMONT, LEHIGH

16s- VERMONT, MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE, LAMAR, LOYOLA (MD), W. KENTUCKY, NORFOLK STATE





last four in: Texas, Drexel, Seton Hall, Mississippi State
first four out: Iona, Washington, Arizona, Oral Roberts
next six out: Middle Tennessee, Oregon, Tennessee, Nevada, Miami,
Posted on: March 7, 2012 6:25 pm
 

Cubbage32 bracket 3/7

Mid-day here on Tuesday of Championship Week, so I'm including Uconn's win from earlier today, which is the only game that has had any bearing on the bracket so far.

1s-KENTUCKY, SYRACUSE, KANSAS, UNC

2s- Missouri, Duke, MICHIGAN STATE, Ohio State

3s- Marquette, Baylor, Georgetown, Indiana

4s- Michigan, Florida, Wisconsin, Florida State

5s- Louisville, Unlv, MURRAY STATE, Wichita State

6s - San Diego State, CREIGHTON, Notre Dame, ST. MARY'S

7s - Gonzaga, Vanderbilt, TEMPLE, NEW MEXICO

8s - Kansas State, Iowa State, Purdue, Virginia

9s- Alabama, Uconn, MEMPHIS, St. Louis

10s- HARVARD, Cincinnati, West Virginia, Southern Miss

11s- Mississippi State, Seton Hall, Byu, California

12s- LONG BEACH STATE, VCU, WASHINGTON, Colorado State

13s- NEVADA, DAVIDSON, Texas, Xavier, Drexel, South Florida

14s-BELMONT, SOUTH DAKOTA STATE, MONTANA, DETROIT

15s- UNC-ASHEVILLE, LONG ISLAND, AKRON, BUCKNELL

16s- STONY BROOK, MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE, SAVANNAH STATE, LOYOLA (MD), W. KENTUCKY, TEXAS-ARLINGTON

Top 4 seeds in each region
Midwest
1 Kentucky 2 Missouri, 3 Marquette, 4 Florida State
West
1 UNC 2 Ohio State, 3 Georgetown, 4 Michigan
East
1 Syracuse, 2 Duke, 3 Indiana, 4 Wisconsin
South
1 Kansas, 2 Michigan State, 3 Baylor, 4 Florida

play-in games: 13-Texas vs. 13-Xavier; 13-Drexel vs. 13-South Florida; 16-W. Kentucky vs. 16-Texas-Arlingon; 16-Stony Brook vs. 16-Mississippi Valley State.

last four in: Texas, Xavier, Drexel, South Florida
first four out: N.C. State, Tennessee, Northwestern, Miami
next six out: Oregon, Oral Roberts, Mid Tennessee, St. Josephs, UCF


Posted on: February 23, 2012 7:03 pm
 

cubbage32 bracket 2/23


We're only a week before some of the mid-major tournaments start up which can only mean one thing... MARCH IS ALMOST HERE!!  Some teams are rolling full steam ahead like Kansas State and Wichita State and other teams are limping to the end.  Only two and a half weeks now and we'll have our OFFICIAL bracket to tear into and I for one cannot wait! 

As always, this bracket is based on if the tournament started today, not who I predict will be selected in six weeks.  Conference winners will be the team in first place right now, with tie breakers being highest rated RPI between the tied teams.

American East-1
Conference champ- Stony Brook
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Stony Brook has a one game lead with one game to go thanks to Vermont inexplicably giving Binghamton its first win of the season last night.  Look for whoever wins this league to hook up with one of the 1-seeds.

ACC- 5
Conference Champ- North Carolina
at large-Duke, Florida State, Virginia
bubble- Miami (in), NC State
analysis- N.C. State's 20 points collapse at Duke carried into their next game at home against Florida State.  They were overmatched against North Carolina two nights ago, and now they finish up with two of their final three on the road to close out conference play, including one against fellow bubble team Miami.  There best win is a neutral site win over Texas, although they have played a very good schedule.  finishing 2-1 in the regular season and one win in the ACC tourney should get them in.  Duke, Florida State and UNC are all just a half game of each other, and Duke and FSU meet tonight in Tallahassee in a game that could eliminate one of them from ACC title contention.

Atlantic Sun-1
Conference champ-Belmont
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Belmont is the class of this conference, but second place Mercer will get the Bruins on their home floor in the final regular season game between these two that could set the tone for the conference tournament.  Belmont needs only to beat winless-in-conference Kennesaw State tonight to clinch the Atlantic Sun Title outright.

Atlantic 10-3
Conference Champ-Temple
at large-Saint Louis
bubble- Xavier (in), Massachusetts, Dayton, St. Josephs, LaSalle
analysis-Like every year it seems, The A-10 will come down to the final week to determine not just a champion of the league, but teams desperately seeking wins to add to their NCAA hopeful resume.  Xavier won a much needed game saturday at home against Dayton in overtime, but followed that up with a loss at UMASS two nights ago to put them back in the "last four in" category.  It's become a two horse race for the regular season title now, with Temple holding the tie breaker in the conference tournament with a 72-67 road win the only time these two teams met.

Big East- 8
Conference Champ-Syracuse
at large- Marquette, Notre Dame, Georgetown, Louisville, West Virginia
bubble- Seton Hall (in), UCONN (in), South Florida, Cincinnati
analysis- What a mess this conference has become over the past few weeks.  UCONN's computer numbers are still off the charts for a team that is fading fast, so I dont really think they're in as much trouble as people are saying at this point, although the Shabazz shot Monday night sure helped.  As for South Florida, I dont think they are as close are people are saying either.  Anyone wanna tell me their most impressive win??? is it a one point home win against Seton Hall?? yes they have some opportunities coming up, but I think they need to get that road win against at Louisville to really be considered, because the committee doesnt care how good your conference record is if you're just beating up on DePaul and St. John's and Providence, just ask Cincinnati or Alabama.

Big Sky-1
conference champ-Weber State
at large-none
bubble- none
analysis-Weber State holds a half game lead over Montana, but the two teams will play each other next tuesday in a game that will probably decide regular season champ.  A name for you to remember from Weber State is Damian Lillard, the second leading scorer in the nation this year.  He is going to be a matchup nightmare for any team come tournament time, and I hope we get the pleasure of seeing this guy play in the NCAA tournament and not the NIT.

Big South-1
conference champ-UNC Asheville
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Asheville finishes up the regular season with two home games they should win, althought regardless if they do or not they have already clinched the Big South title and the top seed in the conference tournament.


Big Ten- 6
Conference Champ- Michigan State
at large-Ohio State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Indiana, Purdue
bubble-Minnesota, Northwestern, Illinois
analysis- WOW, more importantly as to what is going on with Illinois is why is Bruce Weber still on their sideline.  It's obvious to me this team has quit on him, and yet they still have a chance to save this season.  The Fighting Illini are too talented to be THIS bad arent they??  as for the rest of the league, Michigan State is playing like one of the top few teams in the country, and although I wasn't ready to give them a 1-seed quite yet, I am now after the loss by Missouri two nights ago.  Michigan also picked up a big road win two nights ago in overtime against Northwestern to stay in the title hunt, and they are moving up the seed board in a hurry.  Indiana is still having trouble on the road, getting hammered by Iowa Sunday night, but they finish the regular season with three of their final four games at home, including a big time matchup against Michigan State next Tuesday.

Big 12- 6
conference champ-Kansas
at large-Missouri, Baylor, Kansas State, Iowa State,
bubble-Texas (in)
analysis- In two games, Kansas State went from a team on the bubble to a team on the top half of the bracket.  Not bad for a four day stretch.  Kansas now has the inside track to ANOTHER Big 12 title, with a win this Saturday against the Tigers at Phog Allen they will have a two game lead with two games to play.


Big West-1
Conference champ-Long Beach State
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Long Beach State lost a heart breaker late saturday night at Creighton, but that shouldn't deter this team from reaching the NCAA's this year.  After playing the No.1 ranked OOC schedule in the country, this team has blasted its conference competition and should represent the Big West well in the NCAA tournament.

CAA-1
Conference champ- Drexel
at large-none
bubble- VCU, George Mason
analysis- The top 4 teams in the CAA all won their bracketbuster matchup over the weekend, including Drexel, who has now won 15 games in a row leading up to its final two regular season games of the season.  If they win those two games and advance to the conference tournament championship and lose, I truly believe they will earn an at-large berth and give the CAA two bids once again this season. 

Conference USA-3
Conference Champ-Southern Miss
at large-Memphis
bubble-UCF (in)
analysis- Southern Miss and UCF both lost last night to lesser competition, and now they both need to play well from here on out, including the C-USA tournament.  this league has the potential for three bids, but UCF can't afford another loss the rest of the way.

Horizon-1
conference champ-Valparaiso
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Look out 'cause here comes Butler.  The Bulldogs had struggled all season to score points, but now have ripped off five wins in a row and are in second place in the Horizon.  If Butler can hang on to that second seed and get a double bye into the Semifinals of the Horizon conference tournament, I think they'll take the championship once again and punch their ticket into another NCAA tournament.

Ivy-1
conference champ-Harvard
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Every bubble team in america will be rooting for Harvard to win the Ivy league, because they are in the tournament regardless.  Second place Penn will travel to Harvard this Saturday, and if Harvard can come out on top that will give them a two game lead in the league with just three games left.


MAAC-1
conference champ- Iona
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Iona may not play much defense, but boy are they a fun team to watch.  They can put up points against anyone, and if they draw a team that struggles to score, they could really pose a challenge in their first game of the NCAA tournament.


MAC-1
conference champ-Akron
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- This is going to be a tough conference tournament to call.  Akron has been solid all during conference play, but teams like Kent State and Ohio really show some potential. 

MEAC-1
conference champ-Savannah State
at large-none
bubble-none

Missouri Valley-2
conference champ-Wichita State
at large- Creighton
bubble-none
analysis- Wichita State is playing at an unbelievable level right now, and if they can continue this stretch, they could make it to the second weekend and then some.  They have great guard play, they have a seven footer, and their playing with as much confidence as anyone in the country right now.  Creighton can score points with the best of them, but higher seeded teams that don't play alot of defense usually get upset early, and I think that may happen with Creighton this year.

Mountain West-4
conference champ-New Mexico
at large-UNLV, San Diego State
bubble-Colorado State (in)
analysis- I had just about given up hope for Colorado State after that gut-wrenching last second loss at Boise State, but they picked up a big time resume win last night at home against New Mexico.  They aren't out of the woods yet though, and will need to beat either San Diego State on the road or at home against UNLV to secure their bid.  San Diego State stopped their recent slide with a hard-fought overtime victory against Wyoming, although they were down double digits in the first half at one point.

Northeast-1
conference champ- Long Island
at large-none
bubble-Wagner
analysis- Wagner has an RPI in the 70's and a record of 23-4 so they are a team to keep an eye on, but i'm afraid they just don't have the resume for an at large berth.  A Northeast tournament championship game between Long Island and Wagner would be highly entertaining.

Ohio Valley-1
conference champ-Murray State
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Murray State has played lights out since their loss to Tennesse State, and look like a top 15 team in the country.  Isaiah Canaan is one of the better guards in the country, forget about just the mid-majors, and he can lead this team into the second weekend, at least. 

Pac-12- 2
conference champ-Cal
at large-none
bubble-Washington (in), Oregon, Arizona, Colorado, Stanford
analysis- Washington (51) and Oregon (53) have the highest RPI of all the Pac-12 bubble schools, so it's conceivable this conference could get multiple bids the way the rest of the power conference bubble teams have been struggling lately.   If Oregon could win its final three games (at Oregon State, Colorado, Utah) they may be able to get the second bid for the PAC-12.  Same goes for Washington, who finishes the season with three straight road games.

Patriot-1
conference champ-Bucknell
at large-none
bubble-none

SEC-6
conference champ-Kentucky
at large-Florida, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State
bubble-Alabama (in), LSU (in), Arkansas
analysis- Mississippi State needs to right their ship fast, and with two straight road games coming up, that could be a problem.  Kentucky is the class of this conference, and may be the class of the entire college basketball world, they just don't get rattled and have playmakers on offense and defense at every position.  They don't have a weakness and can play any style; teams have to play their best against Kentucky to have a chance, and even that isn't good enough on most nights.

Southern-1
conference champ-Davidson
at large-none
bubble-none
at large- Davidson could have really helped out their seeding possibilities on Saturday, but they got dump-trucked by Wichita State in the second half of that game and had no answer when the Shockers started to pull away.  Regardless, Davidson is a solid club who does have a win against Kansas on their belt.  They'll be a tough out come tourney time.

Southland-1
conference champ-Texas Arlington
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Texas Arlington has gone unbeaten in conference play, and they may be able to avoid a 16 seed if they can win the rest of their games.  it will be close, but it's possible.

SWAC-1
conference champ- Mississippi Valley State
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Play-in game

Summit-1
conference champ- Oral Roberts
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis-

Sun Belt-1
conference champ-Mid Tennessee State
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Mid Tennessee is another team that all bubble schools should be rooting for, because the further embarassing this bubble gets, the more likely that Mid Tennessee gets an at large should it lose in the conference tournament.

WCC- 3
conference champ-St. Mary's
at large-Gonzaga
bubble- BYU (in), Loyola Marymount
analysis- Huge game tonight in the WCC as Gonzaga hosts BYU.  If the Cougars can pick up the road win tonight they will be in prime position for an at large bid.  Even if they don't win tonight, a victory over Portand and advancing the the semifinals of the WCC tourney should be good enough to get a bid.  St. Mary's is in a bit of a funk right now and need to snap out of it.  Dellavadova has been banged up a little bit and they are still withouth Stephen Holt, their third leading scorer.  they finish with two road games to close out the regular season.

WAC- 1
conference champ- Nevada
at large-none
bubble-New Mexico State
analysis- Nevada had a chance on national television to pick up a nice road win against Iona Saturday but were unable to capitalize.  Nevada does have a win against Washington on its resume, but not enough to warrant at-large consideration.  New Mexico is coming on strong, blasting Drake in the bracketbuster by 16 points, but despite posting a win over New Mexico early in the year, will probably have to win the conference tournament to get into the NCAA tournament.




1s KENTUCKY, SYRACUSE, MICHIGAN STATE, KANSAS

2s Duke, Missouri, Ohio State, UNC,

3s Baylor, Michigan, Marquette, Florida

4s Georgetown, Indiana, Louisville, Wisconsin

5s UNLV, Florida State, San Diego Sate, WICHITA STATE

6s TEMPLE, Kansas State, Virginia, MURRAY STATE

7s CALIFORNIA, ST. MARY'S, Vanderbilt, New Mexico

8s Gonzaga, Notre Dame, Creighton, SOUTHERN MISS

9s HARVARD, Uconn, Memphis, Saint Louis

10s Mississippi State, Purdue, West Virginia, Iowa State

11s Byu, Alabama, Seton Hall, Colorado State

12s LONG BEACH STATE, MID TENNESSEE, DREXEL, Texas

13s ORAL ROBERTS, Xavier, Miami, Ucf, Lsu, Washington

14's WEBER STATE, BELMONT, NEVADA, AKRON

15's DAVIDSON, IONA, VALPO, LONG ISLAND

16s MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE, STONY BROOK, SAVANNAH STATE, BUCKNELL, TEXAS-ARLINGTON, UNC-ASHEVILLE

play in games: 13s Miami vs. 13 UCF; 13s LSU vs. 13 Washington; 16s Stony Brook vs. 16s Savannah State; 16s Mississippi Valley State vs. 16s UNC-Asheville

last four in: Miami, UCF, LSU, Washington
first four out: Oregon, Northwestern, Minnesota, NC State
next eight out: VCU, Arkansas, Arizona, Cincinnati, South Florida, New Mexico State, Dayton, Illinois



Posted on: February 12, 2012 9:14 pm
 

Cubbage32 bracket 2/12

Another edition of my bracket, and all sorts of things have happened.  UCONN, West Virginia, Pitt and Seton Hall are all struggling right now in the Big East, and it's opening up other opportunities for some other teams across the country. 
Kansas State and Texas look to be headed in opposite directions, and the Wildcats next three games (vs. Kansas, at Baylor, at Missouri) could seal their fate one way or the other. 
The ACC is making a strong case to get five and possibly even six teams in the tournament this year, when at the beginning of conference play it looked more like three would be the more likely scenario. 
The top seeds have separated themselves from the pack a little bit here, with Michigan State joining the party and Baylor leaving.
One thing that hasn't changed is that the Pac-12 is still terrible, and unless California doesnt win their conference tournament, they'll only have one team representing that conference.

As for the mid-majors, bracketbuster weekend is coming up in five days and for some teams it's the last time to make a real impressioin on the selection committee.  teams like Nevada, VCU, Long Beach State and Oral Roberts have an opportunity to really open some eyes this weekend with big wins and improve their at-large chances.

As always, this bracket is based on if the tournament started today, not who I think will be selected four weeks from now.  Conference winners with the team team in first place right now, with tie breakers being RPI between the tied teams.  


1s KENTUCKY, SYRACUSE, Missouri, KANSAS

2s Ohio State, MICHIGAN STATE, North Carolina, DUKE

3s Baylor, UNLV, Georgetown, Marquette

4s Florida, San Diego State, Indiana, Louisville

5s Michigan, Florida State, Wisconsin, SAINT MARY'S

6s TEMPLE, WICHITA STATE, Virginia, SOUTHERN MISS

7s Mississippi State, Gonzaga, Vanderbilt, Memphis

8s MURRAY STATE, Iowa State, Saint Louis, CALIFORNIA

9s West Virginia, Uconn, Notre Dame, Creighton

10s Illinois, Purdue, HARVARD, N.C. State

11s Kansas State, Byu, New Mexico, Alabama

12s LONG BEACH STATE, MID TENNESSEE, Seton Hall, Xavier

13s NEVADA, ORAL ROBERTS, Texas, Ucf, Miami, Minnesota

14's WEBER STATE, DAVIDSON, DREXEL, AKRON,

15's MERCER, VALPO, LONG ISLAND, BUCKNELL

16s MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE, STONY BROOK, NORFOLK STATE, LOYOLA (MD), TEXAS-ARLINGTON, UNC-ASHEVILLE

Play-in games: 13s Texas vs. 13s UCF; 13s VCU vs. 13s Minnesota; 16s Mississippi Valley State vs. 16s Stony Brook; 16s Norfolk State vs. 16s Loyola(MD)


last four in: Texas, UCF, Miami, Minnesota

first four out: VCU, Arkansas, UMASS, Mississippi,

next six out: Colorado State, Washington, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Arizona, Oregon
Posted on: February 12, 2012 9:01 pm
 

Cubbage32 bracket 2/12

Another edition of my bracket, and all sorts of things have happened.  UCONN, West Virginia, Pitt and Seton Hall are all struggling right now in the Big East, and it's opening up other opportunities for some other teams across the country. 
Kansas State and Texas look to be headed in opposite directions, and the Wildcats next three games (vs. Kansas, at Baylor, at Missouri) could seal their fate one way or the other. 
The ACC is making a strong case to get five and possibly even six teams in the tournament this year, when at the beginning of conference play it looked more like three would be the more likely scenario. 
The top seeds have separated themselves from the pack a little bit here, with Michigan State joining the party and Baylor leaving.
One thing that hasn't changed is that the Pac-12 is still terrible, and unless California doesnt win their conference tournament, they'll only have one team representing that conference.

As for the mid-majors, bracketbuster weekend is coming up in five days and for some teams it's the last time to make a real impressioin on the selection committee.  teams like Nevada, VCU, Long Beach State and Oral Roberts have an opportunity to really open some eyes this weekend with big wins and improve their at-large chances.

As always, this bracket is based on if the tournament started today, not who I think will be selected four weeks from now.  Conference winners with the team team in first place right now, with tie breakers being RPI between the tied teams.  


1s KENTUCKY, SYRACUSE, Missouri, KANSAS

2s Ohio State, MICHIGAN STATE, North Carolina, DUKE

3s Baylor, UNLV, Georgetown, Marquette

4s Florida, San Diego State, Indiana, Louisville

5s Michigan, Florida State, Wisconsin, SAINT MARY'S

6s TEMPLE, WICHITA STATE, Virginia, SOUTHERN MISS

7s Mississippi State, Gonzaga, Vanderbilt, Memphis

8s MURRAY STATE, Iowa State, Saint Louis, CALIFORNIA

9s West Virginia, Uconn, Notre Dame, Creighton

10s Illinois, Purdue, HARVARD, N.C. State

11s Kansas State, Byu, New Mexico, Alabama

12s LONG BEACH STATE, MID TENNESSEE, Seton Hall, Xavier

13s NEVADA, ORAL ROBERTS, Texas, Ucf, Miami, Minnesota

14's WEBER STATE, DAVIDSON, DREXEL, AKRON,

15's MERCER, VALPO, LONG ISLAND, BUCKNELL

16s MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE, STONY BROOK, NORFOLK STATE, LOYOLA (MD), TEXAS-ARLINGTON, UNC-ASHEVILLE

Play-in games: 13s Texas vs. 13s UCF; 13s VCU vs. 13s Minnesota; 16s Mississippi Valley State vs. 16s Stony Brook; 16s Norfolk State vs. 16s Loyola(MD)


last four in: Texas, UCF, VCU, Minnesota

first four out: VCU, Arkansas, UMASS, Mississippi,

next six out: Colorado State, Washington, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Arizona, Oregon



Posted on: February 12, 2012 8:19 pm
 

Bracketology 2/12

Another edition of my bracket, and all sorts of things have happened.  UCONN, West Virginia, Pitt and Seton Hall are all struggling right now in the Big East, and it's opening up other opportunities for some other teams across the country.  Kansas State and Texas look to be headed in opposite directions, and the Wildcats next three games (vs. Kansas, at Baylor, at Missouri) could seal their fate one way or the other.  The ACC is making a stronger case to get five and possibly even six teams in the tournament this year, when at the beginning of conference play it looked more like three would be the more likely scenario.  The top seeds have separated themselves from the pack a little bit here, with Michigan State joining the party and Baylor leaving.  One thing that hasn't changed is that the Pac-12 is still terrible, and unless California doesnt win their conference tournament, they'll only have one team representing that conference.

As for the mid-majors, bracketbuster weekend is coming up in five days and for some teams it's the last time to make a real impressioin on the selection committee.  teams like Nevada, VCU, Long Beach State and Oral Roberts have an opportunity to really open some eyes this weekend with big wins and improve their at-large chances.

As always, this bracket is based on if the tournament started today, not who I think will be selected four weeks from now.  Conference winners with the team team in first place right now, with tie breakers being RPI between the tied teams.  


1s KENTUCKY, SYRACUSE, Missouri, KANSAS

2s Ohio State, MICHIGAN STATE, North Carolina, DUKE

3s Baylor, UNLV, Georgetown, Marquette

4s Florida, San Diego State, Indiana, Louisville

5s Michigan, Florida State, Wisconsin, SAINT MARY'S

6s TEMPLE, WICHITA STATE, Virginia, SOUTHERN MISS

7s Mississippi State, Gonzaga, CALIFORNIA, Memphis

8s MURRAY STATE, Iowa State, Saint Louis, Creighton

9s West Virginia, Uconn, Notre Dame, N.C. State

10s Illinois, Purdue, HARVARD, New Mexico

11s Kansas State, Byu, Seton Hall, Alabama

12s LONG BEACH STATE, MID TENNESSEE, Miami, Xavier

13s NEVADA, ORAL ROBERTS, Texas, Ucf, Vcu, Minnesota

14's WEBER STATE, DAVIDSON, DREXEL, AKRON,

15's MERCER, VALPO, LONG ISLAND, BUCKNELL

16s MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE, STONY BROOK, NORFOLK STATE, LOYOLA (MD), TEXAS-ARLINGTON, UNC-ASHEVILLE

Play-in games: 13s Texas vs. 13s UCF; 13s VCU vs. 13s Minnesota; 16s Mississippi Valley State vs. 16s Stony Brook; 16s Norfolk State vs. 16s Loyola(MD)


last four in: Texas, UCF, VCU, Minnesota

first four out: Arkansas, UMASS, Mississippi, Colorado State

next four out: Washington, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Oregon















Posted on: January 29, 2012 10:41 pm
 

Cubbage32 bracketology 1/29

Well things have certainly heated up over the past few weeks and we are now right in the thick of the conferences races.  Things have definitely changed since my last mock bracket two weeks ago, as will it change almost nightly now until selection sunday.  As always, this bracket is based on if the tournament started today, not who I predict will be selected in six weeks.  Conference winners will be the team in first place right now, with tie breakers being highest rated RPI between the tied teams.

American East-1
Conference champ- Stony Brook
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis

ACC-4
Conference champ- Duke
at large- Florida State, North Carolina, Virginia
bubble- N.C. State, Maryland
analysis- N.C. State has yet to be anyone of note yet out of conference or in it, and that's why they haven't cracked the field yet.  Florida State has now ripped off five wins in a row and with back to back home games coming up against Georgia Tech and Virginia, the Noles could climb the seeds in a hurry.

Atlantic Sun-1
Conference champ- Belmont
at large- none
bubble-none
analysis- Belmont already defeated Mercer at home, and these two teams won't play again until the last game of the regular season, which could very well decide the regular season champion.

Atlantic 10- 4
Conference champ- UMASS
at large- Temple, Xavier, Saint Louis
bubble-Dayton, La Salle
analysis- By far the hardest league to figure out this year.  Dayton followed a big win against rival Xavier with back to back losses, Including one to lowly Rhode Island yesterday for its first conference victory of the season.  The Flyers are now on the outside looking in.  Xavier picked up a needed road victory against Charlotte, but will need to impress people this saturday when they travel to Memphis for an out of conference showdown.


Big East-9
Conference champ- Syracuse
at large-Marquette, Georgetown, Notre Dame, UCONN, Louisville, West Virginia, Cincinnati
bubble- Seton Hall (in)
analysis- Seton Hall has free-falled since a nice start to play, and is now one of the last four teams in the tournament.  Uconn is also going in the wrong direction, losing their last three games.  They did get Boatright back today, but they still managed to fall at home to a hot Notre Dame squad.

Big Sky-1
conference champ- Weber State
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Weber State demolished second place Montana by 16 earlier this year at home, and these two wont play again until the last regular season game of the season.  Weber State should also draw a decent opponent for the Bracketbuster matchup in three weeks, possibly Indiana State, UNC Asheville, or Oakland

Big South-1
conference champ-N.C. Asheville
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis-

Big Ten-8
conference champ-Michigan State
at large-Ohio State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota
bubble-Purdue (in)
analysis- Purdue is hanging by a thread right now, and really needs a victory over Indiana next Saturday to boost its resume.  Illinois is sliding hard, with three straight losses, including a loss AT PENN STATE.  Wisconsin has won five straight since starting Big 10 play 1-3, and is moving up the seed chart rather quickly.

Big 12-5
conference champ- Kansas
at large-Baylor, Missouri, Kansas State
bubble-Iowa State (in), Oklahoma
analysis- The Big 12 still has three teams in the top 10 of the country and it will probably stay that way the rest of the season.  Missouri is extremely fun to watch, playing a four guard set most of the time with Ratliffe doing the job down low.  Kansas has been probably the biggest surprise of the season for me, far exceeding the low expectations they had coming into this season.

Big West-1
conference champ-Long Beach State
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Long Beach State will get one of the top two or three Bracketbuster games coming up in three weeks, and if they win that game, I dont think the committee can leave them out of the NCAA tournament regardless of winning their conference tournament or not.


CAA- 1
conference champ- George Mason
at large-none
bubble-VCU, Drexel
analysis- George Mason and VCU will both be getting home bracketbuster games this year, and that saturday will go a long way in determining is the CAA will get a shot at two bids this year.  Right now, they don't have the computer numbers to back two bids, but if GMU and VCU could get home wins and then Drexel steals one on the road, it just might happen.

Conference USA-2
conference champ-Southern Miss
at large-Memphis
bubble-UCF
analysis-Conference USA has started to clear up a little bit lately, with Southern Miss and Memphis breaking away from the pack.  UCF and Tulsa are trying to hang around, but either way this league should end up with two bids.

Horizon League-1
conference champ-Cleveland State
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Butler has lost back to back games and is now just .500 overall for the regular season.  Cleveland State is the class of the league, and may draw either Northern Iowa or Nevada for the bracketbuster and with a win over either of those teams could boost their at-large chances.

Ivy League-1
conference champ-Harvard
at large-none
bubble-none- Harvard beat the second best team in the IVY League (Yale) by 30 points friday night. That Florida State victory in the non-conference is looking better and better.

MAAC-1
conference champ-Iona
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Iona boasts an RPI in the 50s and does have a couple of nice non conference victories (Denver, Maryland)  I dont know if they will have enough of a resume to get in should they not win their tournament, but bubble teams better hope they do just in case the committee sees otherwise.

MAC-1
conference champ-Akron
at large-none
bubble-Ohio
analysis- Ohio has a very nice record at 17-4, but with the computer numbers they have right now (70 RPI, 180 SOS and 0-1 vs top 50 RPI) they probably need to win out in the regular season, which would include a win at home against Akron, to have an at-large chance.

MEAC-1
conference champ- Norfolk State
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- The winner of this league traditionally plays in one of the play-in games on Tuesday or Wednesday.  This year won't be any different.

Missouri Valley-2
conference champ-Creighton
at large-Wichita State
bubble-none
analysis-Northern Iowa has fallen off the map, making the Missouri Valley a two bid league this year.  Creighton and Wichita State are both solidly in right now, and will both be very dangerous in March.  If you don't know who Doug McDermott is for Creighton, you need to.  Averagine 23.5 ppg and 8.4 rpg, he's a first team all america type player and has the Bluejays looking at a top 4 seed this year.

Mountain West-4
Conference champ- UNLV
at large-San Diego State
bubble-New Mexico (in), Colorado State (in)
analysis- New Mexico has five wins over Power conference schools, and while none of those teams look to make the NCAA tournament this year, the Lobos body of work looks good enough to get in the tournament, barely.  Colorado State has the same problem, but their win over San Diego State last night sneaks them into the tournament for now.

Northeast- 1
conference champ-Long Island
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis-

Ohio Valley-1
conference champ Murray State
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Everyone is interested to see where the committee is going to put Murray State since they are undefeated but have a SOS of 227.  I think right around the 6/7 line is a very fair spot for them.

Pac-12- 2
conference champ-Washington
at large-California
bubble-Oregon, Colorado, Arizona
analysis- Washington went on the road and defeated Arizona last night to stay in first place in the pathetic PAC-12.  Oregon was looking like an up-and-comer here in the last few weeks, but they lost at home to rival Oregon State tonight to drop to 6-3 in the league.

Patriot-1
conference champ-Bucknell
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis

SEC-6
conference champ-Kentucky
at large-Florida, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State
bubble- Mississippi (in), Arkansas (in), Alabama
analysis- Arkansas is a very young team, but there win over Michigan last weekend was enough to get them in right now.  Kentucky is looking like the best team in the nation right now, and if Fab Melo doesnt return this year for Syracuse, I think they are the best.

Southern-1
conference champ-Davidson
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Davidson beat Kansas earlier this year, and any team that plays this team in March better come ready to play or they'll be sent home from the Dance early.

Southland-1
conference champ-Texas Arlington
at large-none
bubble-none


SWAC-1
conference champ-Mississippi Valley State
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Mississippi Valley State was 1-11 before conference play started, and has won 8 straight in SWAC play.  There are zero teams above .500 in this league.

Summit-1
conference champ-Oral Roberts
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- Oral Roberts is undefeated in conference play at the moment and have reeled off 13 straight wins since a loss at Gonzaga.  They will draw a televised bracketbuster game in three weeks, and with an RPI of 49, an at large bid may not be out of the realm of possibility.

Sun Belt-1
conference champ-Middle Tennessee State
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- boasting wins over UCLA and Mississippi, this team will be a tough out in NCAA tournament play.  Look for them right around the 13/14 line.

WCC-3
conference champ-St. Mary's
at large-Gonzaga
bubble- BYU (in)
analysis- Saint Mary's looked like the best Mid-Major team in the country last night, dismantling BYU on its home court.  The Gaels'  Matthew Dellavedova may not look like much of a basketball player at first glance, but he's the team leader and a guy no one should underestimate any longer.

WAC-1
conference champ-Nevada
at large-none
bubble-none
analysis- The Wolfpack has won 15 straight games now, one of the longest streaks in the country, and looked primed to be a threat in March.  a matchup featuring Cleveland State at Nevada would be a really good matchup in three weeks.

1s-SYRACUSE, DUKE, KENTUCKY, Ohio State
2s KANSAS, MICHIGAN STATE, Missouri, North Carolina
3s-Baylor, UNLV, Georgetown, Florida
4s-San Diego State, Marquette, CREIGHTON, SAINT MARY'S
5s-Michigan, Indiana, Vanderbilt, Virginia
6s-Uconn, MURRAY STATE, Wisconsin, Mississippi State
7s Gonzaga, SOUTHERN MISS, Illinois, Louisville
8s Temple, West Virginia, Florida State, HARVARD
9s-Wichita State, Notre Dame, California, Kansas State
10s-Xavier, UMASS, Iowa State, Minnesota
11s-Saint Louis, Memphis, Mississippi, WASHINGTON
12s-Byu, Seton Hall, Purdue, New Mexico, Arkansas, Colorado State
13s-CLEVELAND STATE, MID TENNESSEE STATE, GEORGE MASON, LONG BEACH STATE
14s-DAVIDSON, BELMONT, ORAL ROBERTS, NEVADA
15s-N.C. ASHEVILLE, LONG ISLAND, AKRON, IONA
16s-NORFOLK STATE, TEXAS ARLINGTON, MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE, BUCKNELL, STONY BROOK, WEBER STATE


 Opening Round games
12 BYU vs. 12 New Mexico
12 Colorado State vs. 12 Seton Hall

16 Stony Brook vs. 16 Mississippi Valley State
16 Texas Arlington vs. 16 Norfolk State



































































































 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com